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Monday, May 10, 2010

POSITIVE START LIKELY ON SUPPORTIVE ASIAN CUES

Headlines for the day:

New FDI norms for 'Indian' firms likely


Alcon to form JVs with Indian drug companies

Maruti asks component suppliers to reduce costs

Events for the day:

Major corporate action


Talwalkars to list today

Visaka Industries board to consider stock split
Results: Jubilant Organosys
For more events, log on to Sharekhan.com

Pre-market report

Global signals


The European shares ended at a seven-month closing low on Friday i.e. May 7, 2010, suffering their biggest weekly fall since November 2008, hurt by escalating fears over the euro zone debt crisis.


The US stocks slid on Friday, completing the biggest weekly decline in more than a year. The Dow Jones industrials closed with a loss of about 140 points, having been down almost 280 earlier in the day.

In today's trade, the Asian markets were trading in the positive territory. At the time of writing this report, SGX Nifty was trading 88.5 points higher.

Indian markets


The Asian markets were quoting higher in their early trade after a massive bail out for Greece took shape over the weekend. The International Monetary Fund has put up nearly $40 billion to help bail out Greece and appease investors' fears of a spreading European debt crisis. The strong Asian cues, good US data numbers released on Friday, will help the Indian markets to begin the session on a positive note. In this week, the investors will eye the index of industrial production (IIP) data for the month of March. The earnings of Jubilant Organosys will be watched later today, the stock will be in focus.

Commodity cues

In the commodity space, the crude oil prices fell for the fourth straight day, following US stocks, as investors remained bearish about Europe's prospects, with the Nymex light crude oil for the June series declined by $2.00 per barrel, whereas in the metals space, the Comex Gold for the June series rose by $13.10 and the Comex Silver for the June series was up by $0.94 to a troy ounce respectively.


Daily trend of FII/MF investment in equities


On May 06 2010, the foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were the net sellers of the Indian stocks to the tune of Rs1,389.10 crore, whereas the domestic mutual funds, on May 05, 2010, were the net buyers of the stocks to the tune of Rs102.90 crore.

DAILY NEWS ROUNDUP -MAY 10, 2010

SC directs Reliance Industries to initiate renegotiation with RNRL within six weeks on the terms of the gas supply agreement so that their interests are safeguarded. (BL)

JSW Steel reported that its crude steel production has increased by 20% to 560,000 tonnes in April. (BL)

IRB Infra bags Rs12bn road project. (BL)

JSL has signed a MoU with the Orissa Government to set up a 1,320MW super critical thermal power plant at Luni. (BL)

Apollo Hospitals will add 2,200 beds over the next two years with an estimated investment of Rs10bn. (FE)

Tata Steel will raise Rs100bn of debt to finance its 3mn tonne expansion in Jamshedpur and to part-pay debt at Corus. (DNA)

Dabur plans to go ahead with its overseas acquisition plans this fiscal, particularly in the personal care and healthcare segment, in the Middle East and African countries. (ET)

Sun Pharma is voluntarily recalling about 27,000 bottles of anticholesterol medicine Gemfibrozil tablets from the US market after impurity levels exceeded permissible limits. (ET)

Cipla in talks to make and supply drugs to global pharmaceutical firm Pfizer as the US-based company plans a foray in the generics business space. (ET)

RCom to launch IPTV service in Mumbai, Delhi in three months. (ET)

LIC Housing Finance plans to raise Rs200bn during the current fiscal to fund its business growth. (ET)

Alcon Inc plans to rope in strategic manufacturing alliances and joint ventures with Cipla. (BS)

The three Patni brothers of Patni Computer may get a premium for selling their stake to Japanese strategic investor NTT Data, compared to PE firm General Atlantic. (ET)

Ansal Properties plans to raise Rs710mn by selling 6.94% stake to a group of investors led by Enam Investment Services. (ET)

Kemrock Industries plans upto Rs18bn investment in 4-5 years. (BS)

Dalmia Cement and Kohlberg Kravis Roberts together with its affiliates have signed a definitive agreement under which KKR is planning to invest Rs7.5bn in the company’s subsidiary. (BS)

DCM Shriram plans to send Rs80mn in two years to develop a lignite mine in Rajasthan. (BS)

Triveni Engineering plans to list the demerged entity Triveni Turbine on the domestic bourses by the end of 2010. (BS)

Nava Bharat Ventures unit has concluded the purchase of 65% equity stake in Zambia-based Maamba Collieries from ZCCM-Investment Holdings Plc. (BS)

Gemini Communication acquires African telecom and internet services provider Rosy Blue Wireless. (ET)

The government may rework natural gas allocation priorities to accommodate ADAG's Dadri power plant. (ET)

Retail investors to get 5% discount in Engineers India's follow-on offer. (ET)

Great Offshore likely to ink joint venture with foreign offshore player. (ET)

Tinplate is working with Corus group to explore joint marketing opportunities for food and beverages packaging in Europe. (ET)

Private telecom companies ask the government not to give any concessions to BSNL and MTNL regarding payments for third-generation airwaves. (ET)

The value of the auction for 3G spectrum moves up to Rs129bn.(BL)

Foreign exchange reserves were up US$157mn to US$278bn for the week ending April 30. (BL)

The government may soon ask companies with less than 50% foreign equity to seek approval of the FIPB to make any downstream investment. (BS)

Friday, May 7, 2010

INTRADAY CALL:-

1)SELL PNB:------DAY TRADERS CAN CONSIDER TO SELL THIS STOCK AROUND AT 1025.00 STOPLOSS 1037 TARGET 1004./996...

2) BUY NTPC:-----DAY TRADERS CAN CONSIDER TO BUY THIS STOCK AROUND AT 203.80 STOPLOSS 201.50 TARGET 207.00/209.60




Disclaimer: These Recommendations are based on technical analysis and Personal observations. Due care has been taken while preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences what so ever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.

DAILY NEWS ROUNDUP -MAY 7, 2010

The proposed joint venture between SAIL and POSCO is likely to be finalised by the month-end. (BL)

The Supreme Court to give its verdict on the gas supply and pricing dispute between Reliance Industries and RNRL today. (BL)

Maharashtra government to ask Tata Power to supply electricity to Reliance Infra till July 1. (ET)

Wipro is looking increase the authorized share capital of the company by creating additional equity shares. (BS)

ONGC Videsh and its partners will next week sign contracts for developing a giant oilfield in Venezuela. (BS)

HCC completed the acquisition of a 66% stake in Swiss construction firm Karl Steiner AG. (ET)

Tata Communications enters into partnership with Infinity Africa, expanding its services in Tanzania. (BS)

Glenmark's US unit enters into an exclusive license and supply agreement for a branded product with the US arm of Taro Pharmaceuticals. (BL)

Lanco Solar, the SPV of Lanco Infratech plans for a polysilicon and solar wafer manufacturing base in Ramdaspur village, near Cuttack District. (BL)

Moser Baer to raise Rs4bn debt for expanding solar power. (BS)

Aurobindo Pharma received approval for its abbreviated new drug Cyclobenzaprine tablets from the Canadian regulator, Health Canada. (BL)

Coal India expects to seal deals worth US$1.7bn with foreign firms this month for mining coal abroad.

EIH Ltd plans to buy out its joint venture partner for the global businesses for US$45mn. (BL)

Nagarjuna Agrichem plans to invest Rs3.5bn to set up an 8,000 ton greenfield manufacturing facility at the Visakhapatnam SEZ. (BL)

Ingersoll Rand plans to invest about US$100mn by 2013 to expand research activity and manufacturing capacity in India. (ET)

Ajmera Realty would acquire 36% stake in company Ultra Tech Property Developers Pvt Ltd. (BS)

ICI India plans to set up a new production facility "either in Tamil Nadu or Karnataka" to manufacture 70mn litres of decorative paints a year. (FE)

FY10 exports slip 4.7% to US$176.5bn. (BS)

Food inflation moderated further to 16.04% for the week ended April 24, (BS)

BELLWETHERS BREACH CRUCIAL LEVELS

Today's major news

Food inflation eases to 16.04%

Union Bank of India Q4 net profit up 27.61% yoy; the stock closes 1.82% lower

Punjab National Bank Q4 net profit jumps 31.1% yoy; the stock closes 0.05% higher

Click here for more stories

Global signals

European stocks traded in green snapping its losing streak as banking stocks gained on strong results posted by BNP Paribas. As of writing this report, FTSE 100 was trading marginally higher by 0.45%.


All the major Asian indices closed in the negative territory. SGX Nifty closed 40 points lower.


US stock futures signal higher opening on the Wall Street ahead of jobless claim data and the European Central Bank’s (ECB) governing council meeting on interest rates.


Indian indices


The domestic market fell for the fourth straight session even after witnessing some bouts of recovery. The fears of Greece’ crisis that could spread among other euro zone countries and selling in heavyweights like Reliance Industries and Infosys Technologies led the market to extend its losses. An upbeat employment data in the US and easing food inflation back home (coming down at 16.4% from 16.61%) also did not help the market and it ended in red.

The 30-share bellwether opened 7 points lower at 17080 and this was also its day’s high. In the later session, the Sensex extended its losses and selling in heavyweights like Reliance Industries and Infosys Technologies further dragged the Sensex down to touch the day’s low of 16823. However, post lunch, as European markets erased its early losses and turned positive the Sensex recovered its weakness. The Sensex was unable to close above 17,000 levels and ended the day at 16987, 100 points lower. The Nifty also closed below 5100 levels at 5091, 34 points lower.

Market sentiment

The market breadth was marginally negative as declining stocks outdid advancing stocks slightly. Of the 2,938 stocks traded on the BSE, 1,467 stocks declined, whereas 1,360 stocks advanced. Hundred and eleven stocks closed unchanged.

Sectoral & stock screening

Health care stocks did well for the day, with BSE HC up by 1.40%. BSE PSU was second gainer in the sectoral list, advanced by 0.64%. Rest of the 11 sectors were down, with BSE TECk down by 1.04%, the most for any sector, followed by BSE CG that fell by 1.00%.


The top three gaining stocks were — Hindustan Copper (up by 7.69%), Suzlon Energy (up by 5.32%) and Ashok Leylend (up by 4.48%). The top three losing stocks were — Jindal steel (down by 4.46%), ABB (down by 3.99%) and Ambuja Cements (down by 3.69%).

Viewing volumes

Wind turbine major Suzlon Energy saw highest trading with over 1.50 crore shares changing hands on the BSE, followed by Anil Dhirubhai Ambani group company Reliance Natural Resources (0.70 crore shares), industrial finance company IFCI (0.55 crore shares), infrastructure company GTL Infrastructure (0.51 crore shares) and one of the top gainer in ‘A’ group stocks Ashok Leylend (0.50 crore shares).

Thursday, May 6, 2010

GREY MARKET PREMIUMS- MAY 6,2010

Company Name
Offer Price
(Rs.)
Premium
(Rs.)
Talwalkars Better Value Fitness Ltd.
128
20 to 22
Nitesh Estate
54 to 56
Discount
Tarapur Transformers
75
2.50 to 3
Mandhana Industries Ltd.
120 to 130
5 to 5.50
Tara Health Foods
180 to 190
Withdraw
Sutlaj Jal Vidhut Nigam
(SJVNL)
26
2.50 to 3
Jaypee Infra
102 to 117
Discount

MARKET MAY EXTEND LOSSES ON WEAK ASIAN STOCKS;FOOD INFLATION DATA EYED.

The market may extend losses for the fourth straight day tracking weak global stocks which fell on worries Greece debt crisis could have a contagion effect. Trading in S&P CNX Nifty index futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicate that the Nifty could fall 28.50 points at the opening bell. The government will unveil data on some wholesale price indices for the year through 24 April 2010 viz. the food price index, the primary articles index and the fuel price index at about 12:00 IST today.

Asian stocks slumped on Thursday on concern the Greek deficit crisis will spread through Europe and hurt the global economic recovery after Moody's Investors Service placed its credit rating for on a review for a possible downgrade. The key benchmark indices in China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan fell by between 0.36% to 3.15%.

US stocks sagged on Wednesday as more signs emerged that the fallout from the Greek debt crisis could spread to bigger European economies. However, generally positive data on the US private sector job market and the economy's services sector cushioned the negative tone. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 58.65 points, or 0.54% to 10,868.12. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 7.73 points, or 0.66% to 1,165.87. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 21.96 points, or 0.91% to 2,402.29.

The European Central Bank (ECB) holds a regular policy meeting on interest rates today, 6 May 2010. Interest rates in the 16-member eurozone have now been on hold at an historic low of 1% for a year and many economists expect the ECB to leave borrowing costs unchanged till next year. The press conference of ECB chief Jean-Claude Trichet in which he is likely to update on Europe's role in Greece's bailout will be closely watched.

European leaders warned on Wednesday that the euro zone debt crisis could spread beyond Greece, and Moody's Investors Service said Portugal could be next to have its debt downgraded.

A massive Greek bailout package announced on Sunday, 2 May 2010, failed to halt rising jitters about sovereign-debt problems along the euro zone's boundary. Euro-zone governments and the International Monetary Fund hoped that the $145.14 billion rescue package for Greece would soothe investors' nerves over high sovereign-debt levels in Spain, Italy, Portugal and Ireland. Instead, it had the opposite effect, with fears that Greece's debt woes could spread to other countries. Investors are also concerned that the three-year financial package will not fix Greece's longer-term funding problems.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak today at the Chicago Fed's 46th annual conference on bank structure and competition. The US weekly jobless claims data and April sales reports from chain stores is also due today.

Back home, the fourth quarter corporate results announced so far have been fairly encouraging. The combined net profit of a total of 1126 companies rose 28.6% to Rs 38533 crore on 30.3% rise in sales to Rs 359503 crore in the quarter ended March 2010 over the quarter ended March 2009.

Dr Reddy's Laboratories, Punjab National Bank, Torrent Pharma, Union Bank of India, Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilisers among others will announce their January to March 2010 quarter result today.

Meanwhile, business at Indian service companies rebounded to a 21-month-high in April 2010 on new business and high input prices. The HSBC Markit Business Activity Index, based on a survey of 400 firms, rose to 62.1 in April, its highest since July 2008, and compared with 58.1 in March 2010.

A recent industry body report showed that business confidence in India improved on the back of economic recovery. The bi-annual Business Outlook Survey of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) showed that the Business Confidence Index (BCI) of the Indian industry increased by 1.5 points for the April-September 2010 period, compared to the past six months.

The Indian Meteorological department (IMD) expects normal rainfall in the June-September monsoon season this year. Rainfall is likely to be 98% of the long-term average, the IMD said on 23 April 2010. Good monsoon rains would help raise farm output, boost rural incomes and lower food inflation. The south west monsoon is important for India as about 60% of the country's farmlands are rain-fed and more than half of the workforce is employed in the agriculture sector. The quantum of rainfall in the crucial sowing month of July and distribution of rainfall during the monsoon season holds key.

The Reserve Bank of India expects India's economy to expand 8% in the year ending March 2011 (FY 2011) with an upward bias, assuming a normal monsoon this year and sustenance of good performance of the industrial and services sectors on the back of rising domestic and external demand.

The RBI at its annual policy review on 20 April 2010 said it will continue to monitor macroeconomic conditions, particularly the price situation closely and take further action as warranted. A 25 basis points hike in the cash reserve ratio (CRR) with effective from 24 April 2010 will suck out excess liquidity of Rs 12500 crore from the banking system.

In its half-yearly World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has pegged India's GDP growth at 8.75% in calendar 2010 and 8.5% in calendar 2011. According to the IMF, domestic demand in India will strengthen as the labour market improves, and investment is expected to be boosted by strong corporate profitability, rising business confidence and favourable financing conditions.

The key benchmark indices extended losses for the third straight day on Wednesday 5 May 2010 on continued worries over fiscal health of euro zone nations. The BSE 30-share Sensex fell 49.18 points or 0.29% to 17,087.96 on Wednesday.

As per provisional figures on NSE, foreign funds sold shares worth Rs 1589.68 crore and domestic funds bought shares worth Rs 691.15 crore on Wednesday.

DAILY NEWS ROUNDUP -MAY 6, 2010

ICICI Bank, others in talks to buy-out Tayals stake in Bank of Rajasthan. (ET)

SAIL is planning to set-up a power plant and another greenfield steel mill in eastern India. (FE)

Bharti Airtel has entered into a partnership with cloud computing service provider Novatiun to expand its broadband business in India. (ET)

JSPL’s bid for Ziscosteel has been rejected. (BS)

Maharashtra governments’ cabinet sub-committee to meet today to resolve the Tata Power-Reliance Infra row over supplying electricity in Mumbai. (ET)

Government to sell stake in 10 more PSU this year including IOC, MMTC, Coal India, SAIL, RINL and SCI. (ET)

HCL Tech has entered into a pact with Stellar Asia Pacific to offer business services to clients in Australia. (ET)

Bajaj Finserv to launch a wealth management business for retail customers in Q2 FY11. (BS)

JSW Steel hikes prices of HR and CR coils by 1.5%. (FE)

The Patni brothers are likely to sell a large chunk of their shares to Japanese systems integrator NTT Data. (ET)

Yes Bank to tap SMEs for inclusive growth. (FE)

Orchid Chemical has signed an outlicensing distribution deal with US based Alvogen for marketing its 8 oral non-antibiotic formulation in US. (BS)

Kirlosker Brother has bought 90% stake in South Africa based Braybar pumps for Rs110mn. (BS)

3i Infotech to shift focus on IT solutions and Transaction Services business. (FE)

Kalpataru Power raises Rs4.5bn through a QIP issue. (BS)

Gayatri Projects has secured a road project worth Rs22bn from Andhra Pradesh government. (BS)

Ansal Properties to invest Rs15bn over the next three years on housing projects in Haryana. (BS)

Jagran Prakashan to buy Mid-day Multimedia for Rs2bn in an all stock transaction. (ET)

Shoppers Stop has lined up a capex of Rs1.25bn to open 12 stores in the current fiscal. (ET)

Piramal Healthcare has closed down its laboratory in Delhi and laid-off about 60 people. (ET)

Finance Ministry has decided to pay Rs140bn to state-owned OMCs as part compensation for selling kerosene and cooking gas below cost in FY10. (ET)

Growth in non-food credit for the fortnight ending April 23rd stood higher at 17.5%. (FE)

The annual ECB cap has been raised to US$40bn for FY11 from US$35bn in FY10. (ET)

Government to ease stock holding limit for large sugar consumers from May 20. (BS)

Wednesday, May 5, 2010

EQUITY TO START WEAK ON GLOBAL WORRIES

Headlines for the day:

Government mulls sugar decontrol


Corus appoints CitiBank to find buyer for UK Plant

Govt extends emission norms deadline for two-wheelers

Events for the day:

Major corporate action


Ex-date for dividend of Welspun Gujarat

Ex-date for interim dividend of Cholamandalam
Results: Lupin
For more events, log on to Sharekhan.com

Pre-market report

Global signals


The European shares fell to a two-month closing low on Tuesday, as investors' confidence was rattled by growing concerns that a massive bailout for Greece may be insufficient in preventing a wider euro zone debt crisis.


Investors dumped US stocks on Tuesday in the Wall Street's worst session in three months on the fear that even with a bailout for Greece, Europe's debt crisis could spread to other weak euro zone countries.


In today's trade, the Asian markets were trading on a negative note. At the time of writing this report, SGX Nifty was trading 86 points lower. The Janpanese (Nikkei 225 index) and South Korean (Kospi index) markets are shut today.

Indian markets


The encouraging US economic data failed to provide a floor to the market. There was massive sell-off around the globe, as the investors were more concern on the worries about the Greece bailout that would spread across the globe. Following this, Asian markets were dragged by a tumble on the Wall Street and were trading on an average of 1.30% down. The Indian markets are expected to open lower owing to the weak global cues. However, the market is expected to be volatile and remain on a negative bias for the day. The earnings of Lupin is later to be announced today, the stock will be eyed.

Commodity cues

In the commodity space, the crude oil prices loss, with the Nymex light crude oil for the June series down by $3.45 per barrel, whereas in the metals space, the Comex Gold for the June series declined by $14.10 and the Comex Silver for the June series was down by $1 to a troy ounce respectively.


Daily trend of FII/MF investment in equities


On May 04, 2010, the foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were the net sellers of the Indian stocks to the tune of Rs236.10 crore, whereas the domestic mutual funds, on April 30, 2010, were the net buyers of the stocks to the tune of Rs304.80 crore.

DAILY NEWS ROUNDUP -MAY 5, 2010

The government has asked Reliance Industries to cut gas output from its eastern offshore KGD6 fields so that imported fuel stocks can be cleared. (ET)

The government said it is in the process of granting the Maharatna status to four state-run firms -ONGC, SAIL, NTPC and IOC. (ET)

L&T and UK-based Howden Global have signed a JV to design, engineer, manufacture and supply axial fans and air pre-heaters to Indian thermal power plants ranging between 100 MW and 1,200 MW. (BL)

HCL Technologies has signed a US$500mn strategic pact with pharmaceutical major MSD (also known as Merck & Co) for a period of five years. (BS)

Oil India and Indian Oil Corp has pulled out of the race to acquire Gulfsands Petroleum after the UK-listed firm refused the Indian firms’ request for due diligence before making a firm offer. (ET)

NMDC and MMTC are likely to finalise the iron ore export contracts with Japan and Korea by this month-end or early next month. (BL)

NMDC is keen to enter into coal mining with Coal India Ltd as a partner. (FE)

Ashok Leyland has reported sales of 6,500 vehicles for the month of April, compared with 1,750 in the same month last year. (BL)

Apollo Tyres will hike prices of its finished rubber products by 4.5%–5% across segments in June. (FE)

Videocon Industries has moved a petition to the World Bank seeking to revoke a three-year ban for misrepresenting information in a tender document in 2003. (ET)

Welspun-Gujarat Stahl Rohren will acquire majority stake in Saudi Arab-based pipe facility and a pipe coating facility. (BS)

Jet Airways is understood to have asked the MMRDA for six more months to pay for the 1.47-acre Bandra-Kurla Complex plot it bought for Rs8.3bn in 2008. (FE)

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals issued exclusive marketing rights for cholesterol control ezetimibe to another generic company Par Pharmaceutical Companies in an effort to strengthen its patent challenge case against Merck. (ET)

Sterlite Technologies will set up an LCD factory in Maharashtra at an investment of Rs96bn. (BS)

NDTV has terminated its agreement with Scripps Networks Interactive Inc, which it had entered into, to introduce lifestyle channels in India. (BS)

Adani Enterprises said it plans to raise up to Rs40bn through the issue of securities in global or domestic markets. (ET)

McNally Bharat said that it had bagged orders worth Rs1.1bn from Vedanta Group firm to provide engineering related works in Zambia. (FE)

The bid price for 3G spectrum continues to rise as it touched Rs107.5bn for pan-India operations on the 21st day of auction, assuring the government of Rs433.7bn in terms of revenue. (ET)

India is trying to mobilise opinion against the proposed international standard on corporate social responsibility that could give legal sanction to developed countries to reject exports from developing countries like India. (ET)

Parliament passed the budget 2010-11 with the finance minister remaining firm and turning down all pleas for a rollback of increase in duties on fuel. (ET)

The department of disinvestment (DoD) will move a proposal this week for divesting a 10% stake in Coal India through an IPO to cash in on the positive sentiment created by the recently closed issue of Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam. (ET)

The finance ministry has rejected the petroleum ministry's demand for giving a seven-year income tax holiday to those who win sedimentary blocks for natural gas and coal bed methane (CBM) exploration in the next round of auctions later this year. (FE)

The corporate India Inc has raised US$4.32bn in March 2010 up by 300% over US$ 1.1bn mobilized in March 2009. (FE)

Government mulls sugar decontrol as the move has received a strong push from the Commission for Agricultural Costs and Price. (BS)

The government extended the deadline for implementing cleaner emission norms for two-wheelers across the country till July 1, 2010. (BS)

SEBI has widened the scope of index-based options by allowing exchanges to offer option contracts based on Sensex and Nifty with a tenure of up to five years. (BS)

Under margin pressure due to the rising prices of natural rubber, the end-user industries have asked the Government for duty-free import of two lakh tonnes of rubber through a Government agency, besides a ban on exports. (BL)

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

INTRADAY CALL::- BHARTI AIRTEL

DAY TRADERS CAN CONSIDER TO SELL THIS STOCK AROUND AT 299.00 STOPLOSS 303.75 AND TARGET 292./290...


Disclaimer: These Recommendations are based on technical analysis and Personal observations. Due care has been taken while preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences what so ever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.








STOCKS LIKELY TO START POSITIVE

Headlines for the day:

SEBI cracks disclosure whip on credit rating agencies


JSW Steel net up, plans to buy US mine

Events for the day:

Major corporate action


Jaypee Infratech IPO closes today

Ex-date for stock split from Rs2/- to Re1/- of Vipul
Ex-date for dividend of Thomas Cook
Results: Syndicate Bank, Jindal Steel
For more events, log on to Sharekhan.com

Pre-market report

Global signals


The European shares rose on Monday, as upbeat US data boosted hopes of an economic recovery, although doubts persisted on Greece's ability to implement the tough austerity measures it has agreed to under a $147 billion bailout deal.


The US stocks staged a broad rally that drove the S&P 500 to its best day in two months on Monday after manufacturing, consumer spending and construction data instilled confidence that the economic recovery is gaining traction.


In today's trade, the Asian markets were trading on a positive note, except Shanghai Composite. At the time of writing this report, SGX Nifty was trading 14.5 points higher. The Janpanese market (Nikkei 225 index) is closed today on account of Greenery day.

Indian markets


The Sensex opened the May month on a weak note and shed nearly 1% or 173 points on Monday (May 13, 2010), as market sentiments across the globe got disrupted on concerns over the bailout package for debt-laden Greece and fiscal problems in the euro zone.

But as of now the global scenario is different and has taken up a U-turn towards recovery. The news of the robust US data (manufacturing, consumer spending and construction data), Europe recovering on Greek woes, Asian markets trading higher and positive cues around the globe may add fuel, which will help the Indian market to begin the session on a positive note.

However, the earnings of Syndicate Bank and Jindal Steel are later to be announced today — the stocks will be closely eyed by the investors.

Commodity cues

In the commodity space, the crude oil prices gained amid growing concerns over the spill and optimism about Greece's rescue plan, with the Nymex light crude oil for the June series up by $0.04 per barrel, whereas in the metals space, the Comex Gold for the June series rose by $2.60 and the Comex Silver for the June series was increased by $0.20 to a troy ounce respectively.


Daily trend of FII/MF investment in equities


On May 03, 2010, the foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were the net buyers of the Indian stocks to the tune of Rs538.90 crore, whereas the domestic mutual funds, on April 29, 2010, were the net buyers of the stocks to the tune of Rs358.70 crore.

DAILY NEWS ROUNDUP -MAY 4, 2010

Pfizer and Wyeth sue Ranbaxy Laboratories in a US court for infringing the patent rights of Wyeth's drug, Rapamune. (BS)

United Spirits may spin off bottled water biz into separate subsidiary. (BS)

ArcelorMittal is in talks with SAIL for a possible tie-up. (BS)

MindTree outbid TCS, Infosys and Wipro to win Rs300mn contract from India’s Unique Identification Authority. (ET)

IOC plans to expand capacity of its Panipat refinery by 25% to 15mn tones from October. (BS)

L&T won contract worth over US$81.6mn from Abu Dhabi Ports Company. (BS)

Wockhardt has launched a generic version of Flomax in the US, on the first day of patent expiry. (BL)

Maruti Suzuki India reported sales of 93,058 units which marked a 29.7% increase over 71,748 vehicles sold in April 2009. (BL)

SBI extends teaser rate scheme by two months till June 30. (DNA)

The UK-based Gulfsands Petroleum has rejected a £381mn takeover offer made by Oil India and IOC combine. (ET)

GAIL Gas, a wholly owned subsidiary of GAIL (India), is planning to supply piped natural gas and CNG to tier-two cities. (BL)

Dabur India has decided to take a price hike in FY11 in the range of 4-5% on account of rising commodity prices. (DNA)

Ballarpur Industries and West Coast Paper raised product prices by Rs2,500-3,000 per ton. (BS)

NTT Data Corporation emerges as the most aggressive suitor and is in advanced talks with the promoters of Patni Computer to buy their combined 46.5% stake. (BS)

The Hinduja group is set to acquire private banking arm of Belgium's KBL for Rs89bn. (BS)

NMDC plans to start the construction work for its 3mtpa integrated steel plant in Bastar district of Chhattisgarh in October this year. (BS)

NTPC plans to add about 8,000MW generating capacity in the southern region by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan. (BS)

NTPC expects to acquire land for 2 mega projects in 6 months. (BS)

The communications ministry is set to ask Idea Cellular to surrender all six overlapping telecom licences it got following its acquisition of Spice Communications. (ET)

JSW Infrastructure & Logistics plans to invest Rs100bn to develop 5-6 ports in India in the next 10 years. (ET)

Uninor introduces a scheme that gives discounts to customers as they conclude a call, depending on the time and location. (BL)

Spencer's Retail, the retail arm of the RPG Group, plans to add 0.2mn sq ft of space in the current fiscal. (BL)

The Indiabulls group is staking claim for a 250-acre Navi Mumbai plot which it had lost to a consortium comprising Bhushan Steel and the Essel group in January this year. (BS)

Calyx Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals plans to raise Rs1bn via IPO. (BS)

The pan-India bid for 3G spectrum touched Rs95.21bn up 172% from Rs35bn the original base price. (ET)

The government said there was no blanket ban on import of Chinese telecom equipment. (ET)

India’s foreign exchange reserves last week shrank US$600mn to US$613mn in the week ended April 23. (ET)

RBI data shows net credit inflows to the real estate sector at just Rs8.4bn for the 11 months ending February 2010 compared to Rs336bn for same period up to February 2009. (BL)

Monday, May 3, 2010

MARKET MAY OPEN LOWER ON WEAK ASIAN STOCKS;HDFC Q4 RESULT EYED.

The market may open lower as Beijing's monetary-policy tightening over the weekend and a sell-off on Wall Street Friday, 30 April 2010, pulled Asian stocks lower. Trading in S&P CNX Nifty index futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicate that the Nifty could fall 27.50 points at the opening bell. Auto shares may edge higher on strong sales in the month just gone by. HDFC will announce its Q4 result today, 3 May 2010. The company's board will also consider stock-split proposal.

The results announced so far have been fairly encouraging. The combined net profit of a total of 789 companies rose 27.6% to Rs 34723 crore on 31.9% rise in sales to Rs 317052 crore in the quarter ended March 2010 over the quarter ended March 2009.

Tata Motors' total sales including exports of commercial and passenger vehicles jumped 52% to 57,202 vehicles in April 2010 over April 2009. Domestic sales rose 49% to 54,065 units. Exports rose 148.8% to 3,137. Commercial vehicle sales in the domestic market rose 36% to 30,963 units. Passenger vehicle sales jumped 70% to 24,902 units. Passenger vehicle sales include distribution of Fiat cars by Tata Motors. Sales of the ultra-cheap car Tata Nano totaled 3,525 units in April 2010.

Maruti Suzuki India's total sales rose almost 30% to 93,058 units in April 2010 over April 2009. Domestic sales rose 23.4% to 80,34 units.

Asian stocks declined on Monday after China on Sunday, 2 May 2010, raised the proportion of deposits that lenders must keep in reserve at the central bank. The key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan fell by between 0.37% to 1.18%. But, Indonesia's Jakarta Composite rose 0.18%. The stock markets in China and Japan were closed for holidays

The People's Bank of China said it was lifting lenders' reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points, effective 10 May 2010, its third increase of that magnitude this year.

US stocks tumbled on Friday, 30 April 2010 as news of a criminal probe into US investment bank Goldman Sachs unnerved investors already worried about the prospects for heavy banking regulation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 158.71 points or 1.42% to 11,008.61. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 20.09 points, or 1.66% to 1,186.69. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 50.73 points, or 2.02% to 2,461.19.

The US economy expanded at a 3.2% annual rate in the first quarter slowing down from the fourth-quarter's rapid 5.6% pace

Meanwhile, Euro-region ministers agreed to a 110 billion-euro ($146 billion) rescue package for Greece to prevent a default and stop the worst crisis in the currency's 11-year history from spreading through the rest of the bloc.

Back home on the macro front, the latest data showed infrastructure sector output jumped 7.2% in March 2010 from a year earlier, higher than an upwardly revised rise of 4.7% in February 2010.

The Indian Meteorological department (IMD) expects normal rainfall in the June-September monsoon season this year. Rainfall is likely to be 98% of the long-term average, the IMD said on 23 April 2010. Good monsoon rains would help raise farm output, boost rural incomes and lower food inflation. The south west monsoon is important for India as about 60% of the country's farmlands are rain-fed and more than half of the workforce is employed in the agriculture sector. The quantum of rainfall in the crucial sowing month of July and distribution of rainfall during the monsoon season holds key.

The Reserve Bank of India expects India's economy to expand 8% in the year ending March 2011 (FY 2011) with an upward bias, assuming a normal monsoon this year and sustenance of good performance of the industrial and services sectors on the back of rising domestic and external demand.

The RBI at its annual policy review, on 20 April 2010, said it will continue to monitor macroeconomic conditions, particularly the price situation closely and take further action as warranted. A 25 basis points hike in the cash reserve ratio (CRR) with effective from 24 April 2010 will suck out excess liquidity of Rs 12500 crore from the banking system.

In its half-yearly World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has pegged India's GDP growth at 8.75% in calendar 2010 and 8.5% in calendar 2011. According to the IMF, domestic demand in India will strengthen as the labour market improves, and investment is expected to be boosted by strong corporate profitability, rising business confidence and favourable financing conditions.

Profit booking in late trade capped gains on the domestic bourses on Friday, 30 April 2010 as European stocks fell in volatile trade on unease over euro zone sovereign debt levels. The BSE 30-share Sensex was up 55.24 points or 0.32% to 17,558.71 on Friday.

As per provisional figures on NSE, foreign funds bought shares worth Rs 355.55 crore and domestic funds bought shares of Rs 217.61 crore on Friday.

DAILY NEWS ROUNDUP -MAY 3, 2010

Pfizer and Wyeth sue Ranbaxy Laboratories in a US court for infringing the patent rights of Wyeth's drug, Rapamune. (BS)

United Spirits may spin off bottled water biz into separate subsidiary. (BS)

ArcelorMittal is in talks with SAIL for a possible tie-up. (BS)

MindTree outbid TCS, Infosys and Wipro to win Rs300mn contract from India’s Unique Identification Authority. (ET)

IOC plans to expand capacity of its Panipat refinery by 25% to 15mn tones from October. (BS)

L&T won contract worth over US$81.6mn from Abu Dhabi Ports Company. (BS)

Wockhardt has launched a generic version of Flomax in the US, on the first day of patent expiry. (BL)

Maruti Suzuki India reported sales of 93,058 units which marked a 29.7% increase over 71,748 vehicles sold in April 2009. (BL)

SBI extends teaser rate scheme by two months till June 30. (DNA)

The UK-based Gulfsands Petroleum has rejected a £381mn takeover offer made by Oil India and IOC combine. (ET)

GAIL Gas, a wholly owned subsidiary of GAIL (India), is planning to supply piped natural gas and CNG to tier-two cities. (BL)

Dabur India has decided to take a price hike in FY11 in the range of 4-5% on account of rising commodity prices. (DNA)

Ballarpur Industries and West Coast Paper raised product prices by Rs2,500-3,000 per ton. (BS)

NTT Data Corporation emerges as the most aggressive suitor and is in advanced talks with the promoters of Patni Computer to buy their combined 46.5% stake. (BS)

The Hinduja group is set to acquire private banking arm of Belgium's KBL for Rs89bn. (BS)

NMDC plans to start the construction work for its 3mtpa integrated steel plant in Bastar district of Chhattisgarh in October this year. (BS)

NTPC plans to add about 8,000MW generating capacity in the southern region by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan. (BS)

NTPC expects to acquire land for 2 mega projects in 6 months. (BS)

The communications ministry is set to ask Idea Cellular to surrender all six overlapping telecom licences it got following its acquisition of Spice Communications. (ET)

JSW Infrastructure & Logistics plans to invest Rs100bn to develop 5-6 ports in India in the next 10 years. (ET)

Uninor introduces a scheme that gives discounts to customers as they conclude a call, depending on the time and location. (BL)

Spencer's Retail, the retail arm of the RPG Group, plans to add 0.2mn sq ft of space in the current fiscal. (BL)

The Indiabulls group is staking claim for a 250-acre Navi Mumbai plot which it had lost to a consortium comprising Bhushan Steel and the Essel group in January this year. (BS)

Calyx Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals plans to raise Rs1bn via IPO. (BS)

The pan-India bid for 3G spectrum touched Rs95.21bn up 172% from Rs35bn the original base price. (ET)

The government said there was no blanket ban on import of Chinese telecom equipment. (ET)

India’s foreign exchange reserves last week shrank US$600mn to US$613mn in the week ended April 23. (ET)

RBI data shows net credit inflows to the real estate sector at just Rs8.4bn for the 11 months ending February 2010 compared to Rs336bn for same period up to February 2009. (BL)